A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

The Pioneers of Renewable Energy are Around the World - What Can We Learn from Them?




AuthorsKarjalainen J, Heinonen S

PublisherTAMKANG UNIV

Publication year2018

JournalJournal of Futures Studies: Epistemology, Methods, Applied and Alternative Futures

Journal name in sourceJOURNAL OF FUTURES STUDIES

Journal acronymJ FUTURES STUD

Volume22

Issue4

First page 83

Last page100

Number of pages18

ISSN1027-6084

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.6531/JFS.201806.22(4).0006


Abstract
Climate change is causing major pressures for energy systems to change, which is making low-carbon alternatives based on renewable energy sources increasingly attractive. This article used a hybrid methodology to identify and learn from the pioneers of renewable energy around the world. First, weak signals and emerging issues were identified to craft socio-cultural scenarios, which describe how societies could change, while adopting high shares of renewable energy. Four transformative scenarios "Radical Startups", "Value-Driven Techemoths", "Green Do-It-Yourself Engineers" and "New Consciousness" until the year 2050 were constructed. Pioneer analysis was then used to identify scenario-relevant pioneers in case study countries. The findings of an international expert survey describe present pioneers who are leading ecological lifestyles and the adoption of renewable energy technologies. The findings can be used to think of leverage points for systemic change. The article finds pioneer analysis as a useful method to obtain foresight knowledge of anticipated transformations.



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