A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Predictors of Progression From the Appearance of Islet Autoantibodies to Early Childhood Diabetes: The Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young (TEDDY)




AuthorsSteck AK, Vehik K, Bonifacio E, Lernmark A, Ziegler AG, Hagopian WA, She JX, Simell O, Akolkar B, Krischer J, Schatz D, Rewers MJ; the TEDDY Study Group

PublisherAMER DIABETES ASSOC

Publication year2015

JournalDiabetes Care

Journal name in sourceDIABETES CARE

Journal acronymDIABETES CARE

Volume38

Issue5

First page 808

Last page813

Number of pages6

ISSN0149-5992

eISSN1935-5548

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.2337/dc14-2426(external)


Abstract

OBJECTIVEWhile it is known that there is progression to diabetes in <10 years in 70% of children with two or more islet autoantibodies, predictors of the progression to diabetes are only partially defined.RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODSThe Environmental Determinants of Diabetes in the Young (TEDDY) study has observed 8,503 children who were at increased genetic risk for autoimmune diabetes. Insulin autoantibodies (IAAs), GAD65 autoantibodies (GADAs), and insulinoma-associated protein 2 autoantibodies (IA-2As) were measured every 3 months until 4 years of age and every 6 months thereafter; if results were positive, the autoantibodies were measured every 3 months.RESULTSLife table analysis revealed that the cumulative incidence of diabetes by 5 years since the appearance of the first autoantibody differed significantly by the number of positive autoantibodies (47%, 36%, and 11%, respectively, in those with three autoantibodies, two autoantibodies, and one autoantibody, P < 0.001). In time-varying survival models adjusted for first-degree relative status, number of autoantibodies, age at first persistent confirmed autoantibodies, and HLA genotypes, higher mean IAA and IA-2A levels were associated with an increased risk of type 1 diabetes in children who were persistently autoantibody positive (IAAs: hazard ratio [HR] 8.1 [95% CI 4.6-14.2]; IA-2A: HR 7.4 [95% CI 4.3-12.6]; P < 0.0001]). The mean GADA level did not significantly affect the risk of diabetes.CONCLUSIONSIn the TEDDY study, children who have progressed to diabetes usually expressed two or more autoantibodies. Higher IAA and IA-2A levels, but not GADA levels, increased the risk of diabetes in those children who were persistently autoantibody positive.




Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 23:40