A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Optimal portfolios in commodity futures markets




AuthorsFred Espen Benth, Jukka Lempa

Publication year2014

Volume18

Issue2

First page 407

Last page430

Number of pages24

ISSN0949-2984

DOIhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s00780-013-0224-5(external)


Abstract

We develop a general approach to portfolio optimization in futures markets. Following the Heath–Jarrow–Morton (HJM) approach, we model the entire futures price curve at once as a solution of a stochastic partial differential equation. We also develop a general formalism to handle portfolios of futures contracts. In the portfolio optimization problem, the agent invests in futures contracts and a risk-free asset, and her objective is to maximize the utility from final wealth. In order to capture self-consistent futures price dynamics, we study a class of futures price curve models which admit a finite-dimensional realization. More precisely, we establish conditions under which the futures price dynamics can be realized in finite dimensions. Using the finite-dimensional realization, we derive a finite-dimensional form of the portfolio optimization problem and study its solution. We also give an economic interpretation of the coordinate process driving the finite-dimensional realization.



Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 17:31