Joni Karjalainen
M Soc Sc
anticipation; foresight; energy transition; Global South; governance; innovation; models; pioneer analysis; scenario; sustainable development
Joni Karjalainen is a project researcher and a doctoral candidate in the Finland Futures Research Centre. His research entails three themes: learning from crises, energy transition, and off-grid solar energy entrepreneurship.
Currently, his research learns from the COVID-19 pandemic, with a view to unexpected events, discontinuities, and how crises affect urban environments. Crises may be previously recognized, unexpected or even unimaginable. Another research theme concerns the energy transition toward a decentralized, digital, emission-free world. Karjalainen is a co-author to “Electrification in Peer-to-Peer Society. A New Narrative for Sustainable Futures”, a science-book, available in three languages: Finnish, English and Spanish.
He is also interested in the uptake of renewable energy technologies in sub-Saharan Africa and the strategies to attain Sustainable Development Goal 7 (SDG 7) for access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all. In his doctoral research, he studies novel business models and innovation patterns in solar energy in the East Africa. Understanding such dynamics may help in exploring and shaping preferred futures.
He is an author of over 10 academic peer-reviewed articles and over 15 scientific research reports. In recent years, Karjalainen has been based in Accra, Ghana, in the Institute for Futures Research (IFR) in South Africa as a visiting researcher as well as acted as a Visiting Fellow in the University of Sussex, Science Policy Research Unit (SPRU) in the United Kingdom. He also holds previous experience in international development and innovation collaboration.
Karjalainen has worked in the centre since 2013. Karjalainen has a political science degree (M Soc Sc) from the University of Helsinki.
Currently, Karjalainen is mainly focused on learning from crises, the global energy transition and off-grid solar energy startups.
Crises are a pertinent feature of societies in many sectors: economy, society and the environment. As a case in point, the coronavirus pandemic emerged as a global shock, causing a state of uncertainty. Responses to the COVID-19 crisis concerned debates of a “New Normal”. Multiple sectors and different parts of society were provoked to think what might emerge in the wake of the crisis. The pandemic provoked societies to imagine how to survive any types of crises in the future. Futures dialogues help learn from crises, explore latent expectations, and post-crisis futures.
Secondly, solar energy is increasingly expected to power Africa’s future. Despite a hope of its growing uptake, the penetration of solar products (solar lighting, solar home systems and micro- and mini-grids) and services in African countries has been slow. In the 2010s, the global energy landscape witnessed unexpected changes, as the cost of solar photovoltaics has fallen dramatically. These trends and future trajectories of solar PV for African countries, however, have received limited attention. The uptake of solar energy coincides with a growing fascination for promoting innovation in developing countries. In pioneering markets, such as Kenya and Tanzania, innovative business models, incorporating ICT-based innovations such as mobile banking, machine-to-machine communications and artificial intelligence (AI) have emerged. There has been little analysis of what enabled these pioneering ventures to emerge, the role of global innovation networks, and expectations locally in harnessing these technologies.
Karjalainen performs master's thesis supervision, and is also interested in how capacities to think about futures can be strengthened around the world.
- 2063 governance scenarios for Africa’s Futures (2024) Our World of Futures Studies as a Mosaic Karjalainen, Joni; Mwagiru, Njeri
(B2 Non-refereed book chapter or chapter in a compilation book) - A mindshift towards futures resilience and anticipatory urban governance (2024) Real Estate and Sustainable Crisis Management in Urban Environments : Challenges and solutions for resilient cities Heinonen, Sirkka; Karjalainen, Joni; Taylor, Amos
(A3 Refereed book chapter or chapter in a compilation book) - Shaping Education and 21st Century Skills with Futures Literacy: The Futures of Teacher Education in Kenya 2050 (2024) Karjalainen, Joni; Miettinen, Sari; Haapasaari, Osku; Kaskinen, Juha
(D4 Published development or research report or study ) - Constructive conversations on resilient urban futures (2023) Heinonen Sirkka, Karjalainen Joni, Taylor Amos, Rashidfarokhi Anahita, Toivonen Saija, Tähtinen Lassi
(D4 Published development or research report or study ) - Flourishing Urban Futures to Overcome Polycrises – Roadmap for Resilience 2050 (2023) Heinonen Sirkka, Maree Burgert, Karjalainen Joni, Sivonen Risto, Taylor Amos, Viitamäki Riku, Pättikangas Paula
(D4 Published development or research report or study ) - Pitkospuita eteenpäin katsovaan päätöksentekoon: Vihreän, osallistavan, digitaalisen ja kriisinkestävän rakennetun ympäristön tiekartta 2050 (2023) Heinonen Sirkka, Viitamäki Riku, Karjalainen Joni, Taylor Amos, Toivonen Saija, Tähtinen Lassi
(D4 Published development or research report or study ) - Ajankohtaisen ennakointityön skenaariot avartavat Afrikan tulevaisuuksia (2022)
- Futura
(B1 Non-refereed article in a scientific journal) - Edelläkävijäanalyysi – sovelluksia aurinkoenergia-startupien, journalismin ja vastuullisten yritysten aloilta (2022) Tulevaisuudentutkimus tutuksi – Perusteita ja menetelmiä Heinonen Sirkka, Karjalainen Joni, Kurki Sofi, Ruotsalainen Juho
(D2 Article in a professional compilation book) - Escenarios transformadores y conciencia de crisis como semillas fuertes para cultivar la resiliencia del futuro (2022) Prospectiva y estudios de futuro para el desarrollo Heinonen Sirkka, Karjalainen Joni
(B2 Non-refereed book chapter or chapter in a compilation book) - Integrating crisis learning into futures literacy – exploring the “new normal” and imagining post-pandemic futures (2022)
- On the Horizon
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Landscapes of our uncertain futures: Towards mapping and understanding crisis-related concepts and definitions (2022) Heinonen Sirkka, Karjalainen Joni, Taylor Amos
(D4 Published development or research report or study ) - Mysterious faces of hybridisation: an anticipatory approach for crisis literacy (2022)
- European Journal of Futures Research
(A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal) - Northern Urban Energy Futures in Saskatoon, Luleå, and Anchorage (2022) More than ‘Nature’: Research on Infrastructure and Settlements in the North Boucher Martin, Karjalainen Joni
(A3 Refereed book chapter or chapter in a compilation book) - The Africa We Want: Imagining Infrastructures of the Future
(Suomen Afrikka-Seuran blogi) (2022) Karjalainen Joni
(Other publication) - Tulevaisuuksien tekeminen kuuluu kaikille! (2022) Tulevaisuudentutkimus tutuksi – Perusteita ja menetelmiä Karjalainen Joni
(D2 Article in a professional compilation book) - Tulevaisuuskuvat: merkitykset, roolit ja käyttötavat tulevaisuudentutkimuksessa (2022) Tulevaisuudentutkimus tutuksi – Perusteita ja menetelmiä Mäkelä Marileena, Karjalainen Joni, Parkkinen Marjukka
(D2 Article in a professional compilation book) - Moving forward? Building foundational capabilities in Kenyan and Tanzanian off-grid solar PV firms (2021) Building Innovation Capabilities for Sustainable Industrialisation: Renewable Electrification in Developing Economies Karjalainen Joni, Byrne Rob
(A3 Refereed book chapter or chapter in a compilation book) - Foresight for Chile’s energy transition - unleashing societal transformations (2020) The Regulation and Policy of Latin American Energy Transitions Joni Karjalainen, Noora Vähäkari, Sirkka Heinonen
(B2 Non-refereed book chapter or chapter in a compilation book) - La Electrificación en la Sociedad Entre Pares – Una Nueva Narrativa para Futuros Sostenibles (2020) Sirkka Heinonen, Joni Karjalainen
(E2 Popularised book ) - Great Electrification in Peer-to-Peer Society – A New Narrative for Sustainable Futures (2019) Sirkka Heinonen, Joni Karjalainen
(D4 Published development or research report or study )