A1 Refereed original research article in a scientific journal

Quality Criteria for Scientific Futures Research




AuthorsOsmo Kuusi, Kerstin Cuhls, Karlheinz Steinmüller

PublisherTulevaisuudentutkimuksen seura

Publishing placeHelsinki

Publication year2015

JournalFutura

Issue1/2015

First page 60

Last page77

eISSN0785-5494


Abstract

The article discusses quality criteria of the futures research in the ‘Futures Map’ frame. The Futures Map is comprehensive description of the outcomes of a futures research process. It comprises all relevant pictures of the future identified during the process and all relations between these pictures.  The article suggests that the key task of scientific futures research is to improve the validity of Futures Maps. The high internal validity means that futures mapping process is well-organized. The high external validity means that the constructed Futures Map is good.  The key contribution of the article is six pragmatic criteria of external validity of the Futures Maps. The suggested criteria of internal and external validity are compared with the quality criteria defined by the German Netzwerk Zukunftsforschung. The prospects of futures research as a field of science depend first of all on its research methods. The suitable methods do not, however, guarantee a high quality research effort. Based on the defined validity criteria, the article discusses the choice of the research methods as well as the evaluation of particular applications of the methods in practical research projects.

 

 



Downloadable publication

This is an electronic reprint of the original article.
This reprint may differ from the original in pagination and typographic detail. Please cite the original version.





Last updated on 2024-26-11 at 20:36