A1 Vertaisarvioitu alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä lehdessä
Evolution by natural selection to extinction
Tekijät: Parvinen Kalle
Kustantaja: Evolutionary Ecology Ltd
Julkaisuvuosi: 2016
Journal: Evolutionary Ecology Research
Vuosikerta: 17
Numero: 6
Aloitussivu: 743
Lopetussivu: 756
Sivujen määrä: 14
ISSN: 1522-0613
eISSN: 1937-3791
Verkko-osoite: http://evolutionary-ecology.com/abstracts/v17/2974.html
Question: How does the mechanistic underpinning of a discrete-time model affect the possibility for evolutionary suicide?
Mathematical Methods: Adaptive dynamics. Relevant theory on attractor families and bifurcations.
Features of Model: A discrete-time population model derived from a continuous-time resource-consumer model with processes of harvesting resource, mate finding, and egg production.
Results: A population-level multiplicative parameter is affected both by the egg survival probability and harvest effort. Higher survival probability is selected for, which can result in a period-doubling cascade to chaos, and in evolutionary suicide through a global bifurcation. Also higher harvest effort is selected for, but it becomes a scaling factor for the model without qualitatively affecting its dynamics, and demographically stochastic extinction occurs.
Conclusion: Evolutionary predictions should be based on individual-level traits.