A1 Vertaisarvioitu alkuperäisartikkeli tieteellisessä lehdessä
Accuracy of the economic anticipating in a Nordic paper mill – a case study
Tekijät: Esa Hämäläinen, Ulla Tapaninen
Kustantaja: Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.
Julkaisuvuosi: 2011
Journal: International Journal of Applied Management Science
Numero sarjassa: 4
Vuosikerta: 3
Numero: 4
Aloitussivu: 368
Lopetussivu: 384
Sivujen määrä: 17
ISSN: 1755-8913
Abstract: The accuracy of anticipating is an important matter in a paper mill’s
supply chain process. This study focuses on exploring with correlation analysis
the differences between anticipatory and actual paper demand, price and cost
variables regarding a Nordic paper mill. The empirical mill data includes
anticipated and actual economic variables from the mill to the customers in
fifteen European countries during 2002–2008, covering 90% of the mill’s sales.
This kind of anticipatory-actual comparison has been examined scantily. The
empirical findings show that forecasting on the mill level has been quite
accurate, but between different markets there is much variation. The mill has
not succeeded in estimating gross margins in many markets. This study states
that a supply chain examination is worth integrating with the spatial context in
order to yield valid results. Each market needs specific actions to be taken to
ensure that anticipating is as accurate as possible.